Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield United win with a probability of 37.53%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 34.06% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.83%) and 0-2 (7.05%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 1-0 (11.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.