Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
6 | Chicago Fire | 24 | -3 | 30 |
7 | Toronto | 24 | -8 | 26 |
8 | Houston Dynamo | 24 | -10 | 25 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
2 | Real Salt Lake | 24 | -2 | 34 |
3 | Portland Timbers | 25 | 4 | 33 |
4 | Seattle Sounders | 24 | 2 | 32 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 47.21%. A win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 29.66% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.64%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Portland Timbers win was 1-2 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toronto would win this match.
Result | ||
Toronto | Draw | Portland Timbers |
47.21% ( 0.4) | 23.13% ( -0.1) | 29.66% ( -0.31) |
Both teams to score 61.98% ( 0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.92% ( 0.27) | 39.08% ( -0.28) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.59% ( 0.29) | 61.4% ( -0.29) |
Toronto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.12% ( 0.26) | 16.88% ( -0.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.09% ( 0.46) | 46.9% ( -0.46) |
Portland Timbers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.57% ( -0.06) | 25.43% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.74% ( -0.08) | 60.25% ( 0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Toronto | Draw | Portland Timbers |
2-1 @ 9.3% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.64% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 6.79% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 5.52% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 4.03% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 3.78% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.45% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 1.79% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.68% ( 0.03) Other @ 4.23% Total : 47.21% | 1-1 @ 10.45% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 6.37% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.29% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.12% | 1-2 @ 7.16% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 5.88% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 4.02% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 3.27% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.91% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 2.48% Total : 29.66% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 32 | 18 | 10 | 4 | 68 | 22 | 46 | 64 |
2 | CF MontrealMontreal | 32 | 18 | 5 | 9 | 59 | 49 | 10 | 59 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 32 | 14 | 8 | 10 | 47 | 39 | 8 | 50 |
4 | New York City FCNY City | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 53 | 39 | 14 | 49 |
5 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 31 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 56 | 50 | 6 | 45 |
6 | Orlando City | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 40 | 46 | -6 | 45 |
7 | Columbus Crew | 31 | 9 | 15 | 7 | 41 | 36 | 5 | 42 |
8 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 42 |
9 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 46 | 50 | -4 | 40 |
10 | New England RevolutionNew England | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 38 |
11 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 31 | 12 | 2 | 17 | 38 | 48 | -10 | 38 |
12 | Chicago Fire | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 35 |
13 | Toronto | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 49 | 61 | -12 | 34 |
14 | DC United | 32 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 34 | 65 | -31 | 27 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 32 | 18 | 10 | 4 | 68 | 22 | 46 | 64 |
2 | CF MontrealMontreal | 32 | 18 | 5 | 9 | 59 | 49 | 10 | 59 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 32 | 14 | 8 | 10 | 47 | 39 | 8 | 50 |
4 | New York City FCNY City | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 53 | 39 | 14 | 49 |
5 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 31 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 56 | 50 | 6 | 45 |
6 | Orlando City | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 40 | 46 | -6 | 45 |
7 | Columbus Crew | 31 | 9 | 15 | 7 | 41 | 36 | 5 | 42 |
8 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 42 |
9 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 46 | 50 | -4 | 40 |
10 | New England RevolutionNew England | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 38 |
11 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 31 | 12 | 2 | 17 | 38 | 48 | -10 | 38 |
12 | Chicago Fire | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 35 |
13 | Toronto | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 49 | 61 | -12 | 34 |
14 | DC United | 32 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 34 | 65 | -31 | 27 |