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Aug 14, 2022 at 12.30am UK at Nippert Stadium
Cincinnati
2 - 2
Atlanta
Vazquez (29'), Brenner (41')
Barreal (14'), Miazga (58'), Blackett (78')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Almada (17'), Gutman (83')
Wiley (27')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between FC Cincinnati and Atlanta United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Cincinnati

Last Six:
Last Game: Cincinnati 3-1 Philadelphia
Sunday, August 7 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Atlanta United

Last Six:
Last Game: Atlanta 2-1 Seattle
Saturday, August 6 at 8pm in Major League Soccer

We said: FC Cincinnati 3-2 Atlanta United

 As good as Atlanta have played versus Cincinnati in previous years, this is not nearly the same Orange and Blue side that we have seen in past seasons. They may still allow their share of openings on the back end, but Cincy's quality in the final third is difficult for even the most well-organised defensive units to contain, while the Five Stripes struggle away from home, without a win in their last nine road games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 42.63%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 32.4% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 0-1 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
FC CincinnatiDrawAtlanta United
42.63% (0.196 0.2) 24.97% (-0.299 -0.3) 32.4% (0.105 0.11)
Both teams to score 56.91% (1.055 1.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.65% (1.356 1.36)46.35% (-1.351 -1.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.36% (1.265 1.27)68.64% (-1.261 -1.26)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.26% (0.673 0.67)21.74% (-0.67 -0.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.09% (1.017 1.02)54.92% (-1.013 -1.01)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.72% (0.73 0.73)27.28% (-0.728 -0.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.28% (0.939 0.94)62.72% (-0.935 -0.93)
Score Analysis
    FC Cincinnati 42.63%
    Atlanta United 32.4%
    Draw 24.96%
FC CincinnatiDrawAtlanta United
1-0 @ 9.05% (-0.338 -0.34)
2-1 @ 8.97% (0.035 0.04)
2-0 @ 6.91% (-0.114 -0.11)
3-1 @ 4.56% (0.109 0.11)
3-0 @ 3.51% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.96% (0.13 0.13)
4-1 @ 1.74% (0.076 0.08)
4-0 @ 1.34% (0.031 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.13% (0.071 0.07)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 42.63%
1-1 @ 11.75% (-0.19 -0.19)
0-0 @ 5.93% (-0.346 -0.35)
2-2 @ 5.83% (0.14 0.14)
3-3 @ 1.28% (0.081 0.08)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.96%
0-1 @ 7.7% (-0.284 -0.28)
1-2 @ 7.64% (0.033 0.03)
0-2 @ 5% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
1-3 @ 3.31% (0.081 0.08)
2-3 @ 2.52% (0.111 0.11)
0-3 @ 2.17% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.07% (0.048 0.05)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 32.4%

How you voted: Cincinnati vs Atlanta

FC Cincinnati
66.7%
Draw
6.7%
Atlanta United
26.7%
15
Head to Head
Apr 16, 2022 11pm
Atlanta
0-0
Cincinnati

Almada (8'), Sejdic (42'), Campbell (84')

Hagglund (44'), Kubo (45'), Badji (90+4')
Hagglund (77')
Nov 7, 2021 8.30pm
Cincinnati
1-2
Atlanta
Bailey (21')
Stanko (33'), Matarrita (88')
Robinson (70'), Martinez (79')
Hernandez (64'), Araujo (86')
Sep 16, 2021 12am
Atlanta
4-0
Cincinnati
Araujo (5'), Martinez (40', 55'), Barco (86')
Mo (73'), Wolff (90+1')

Brenner (39'), Castillo (45'), Matarrita (54'), Vazquez (79'), Duvall (82')
Jul 22, 2021 1am
Cincinnati
1-1
Atlanta
Acosta (61')
Gyau (38'), Vallecilla (45+3'), Acosta (86')
Hernandez (70')
Sosa (64'), Hernandez (71')
Nov 2, 2020 12am
Atlanta
2-0
Cincinnati
Jahn (8'), Moreno (26' pen.)
Jahn (22')

Amaya (45+3'), Gutman (90+4')
rhs 2.0
Todays Game Header Right
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia321810468224664
2CF MontrealMontreal32185959491059
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls32148104739850
4New York City FCNY City321471153391449
5FC CincinnatiCincinnati31111285650645
6Orlando City31136124046-645
7Columbus Crew3191574136542
8Inter MiamiInter Miami31126134152-1142
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta321010124650-440
10New England RevolutionNew England32911124448-438
11Charlotte FCCharlotte FC31122173848-1038
12Chicago Fire3298153545-1035
13Toronto3297164961-1234
14DC United3276193465-3127

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia321810468224664
2CF MontrealMontreal32185959491059
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls32148104739850
4New York City FCNY City321471153391449
5FC CincinnatiCincinnati31111285650645
6Orlando City31136124046-645
7Columbus Crew3191574136542
8Inter MiamiInter Miami31126134152-1142
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta321010124650-440
10New England RevolutionNew England32911124448-438
11Charlotte FCCharlotte FC31122173848-1038
12Chicago Fire3298153545-1035
13Toronto3297164961-1234
14DC United3276193465-3127
> Full Version
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