Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
5 | Estoril Praia | 1 | 2 | 3 |
6 | Boavista | 1 | 1 | 3 |
7 | Gil Vicente | 1 | 1 | 3 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
9 | Vizela | 1 | 1 | 3 |
10 | Santa Clara | 1 | 0 | 1 |
11 | Casa Pia | 2 | -1 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 44.55%. A win for Santa Clara had a probability of 28.02% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest Santa Clara win was 0-1 (9.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Boavista would win this match.
Result | ||
Boavista | Draw | Santa Clara |
44.55% ( 0.02) | 27.43% ( 0.04) | 28.02% ( -0.06) |
Both teams to score 47.08% ( -0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.96% ( -0.19) | 58.04% ( 0.19) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.28% ( -0.15) | 78.72% ( 0.15) |
Boavista Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.07% ( -0.08) | 25.93% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.07% ( -0.11) | 60.93% ( 0.1) |
Santa Clara Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.56% ( -0.15) | 36.44% ( 0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.78% ( -0.15) | 73.22% ( 0.15) |
Score Analysis |
Boavista | Draw | Santa Clara |
1-0 @ 12.75% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.69% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.61% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.91% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.87% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.97% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.32% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.31% ( -0) Other @ 2.12% Total : 44.54% | 1-1 @ 12.87% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.45% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 4.39% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.72% Total : 27.43% | 0-1 @ 9.54% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.5% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.82% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.88% Total : 28.02% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 20 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 51 | 12 | 39 | 53 |
2 | Porto | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 43 | 11 | 32 | 42 |
3 | Braga | 18 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 39 | 18 | 21 | 40 |
4 | Sporting Lisbon | 18 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 38 | 19 | 19 | 35 |
5 | Casa Pia | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 30 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 30 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 22 | 28 | -6 | 26 |
8 | BoavistaBoavista | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 25 |
9 | Vizela | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 24 |
10 | ChavesChaves | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 22 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 21 |
12 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 21 |
13 | PortimonensePortimonense | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 20 |
14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 19 |
15 | Gil Vicente | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 18 |
16 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 15 |
17 | Maritimo | 18 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 33 | -22 | 13 |
18 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 19 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 35 | -23 | 9 |
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