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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 38.43%. A win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 35.86% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest Schalke 04 win was 0-1 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Union Berlin | Draw | Schalke 04 |
38.43% | 25.7% | 35.86% |
Both teams to score 55.2% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.09% | 48.91% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29% | 71% |
Union Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.02% | 24.97% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.37% | 59.62% |
Schalke 04 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.58% | 26.41% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.42% | 61.57% |
Score Analysis |
Union Berlin | Draw | Schalke 04 |
1-0 @ 9.15% 2-1 @ 8.45% 2-0 @ 6.35% 3-1 @ 3.91% 3-0 @ 2.94% 3-2 @ 2.6% 4-1 @ 1.36% 4-0 @ 1.02% 4-2 @ 0.9% Other @ 1.76% Total : 38.43% | 1-1 @ 12.18% 0-0 @ 6.6% 2-2 @ 5.63% 3-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.7% | 0-1 @ 8.78% 1-2 @ 8.11% 0-2 @ 5.85% 1-3 @ 3.6% 0-3 @ 2.59% 2-3 @ 2.5% 1-4 @ 1.2% Other @ 3.23% Total : 35.86% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 21 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 61 | 21 | 40 | 43 |
2 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 21 | 14 | 1 | 6 | 44 | 27 | 17 | 43 |
3 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 35 | 24 | 11 | 43 |
4 | Freiburg | 21 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 34 | 31 | 3 | 40 |
5 | RB Leipzig | 21 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 43 | 26 | 17 | 39 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 42 | 29 | 13 | 38 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 30 |
8 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 38 | 35 | 3 | 29 |
9 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 27 |
10 | Werder Bremen | 21 | 8 | 3 | 10 | 31 | 41 | -10 | 27 |
11 | FC Koln | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 32 | 34 | -2 | 26 |
12 | Mainz 05Mainz | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 30 | 32 | -2 | 26 |
13 | Augsburg | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 24 |
14 | Stuttgart | 21 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 19 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 29 | 40 | -11 | 19 |
16 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 21 | 6 | 1 | 14 | 24 | 51 | -27 | 19 |
17 | Hertha Berlin | 21 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 25 | 40 | -15 | 17 |
18 | Schalke 04Schalke | 21 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 14 | 41 | -27 | 13 |
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