Home > Football > Bundesliga
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VfL Bochum win with a probability of 40.8%. A win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 33.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a VfL Bochum win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Hertha Berlin win was 0-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that VfL Bochum would win this match.
Result | ||
VfL Bochum | Draw | Hertha Berlin |
40.8% ( -1.01) | 25.31% ( -0) | 33.88% ( 1.01) |
Both teams to score 56.21% ( 0.3) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.53% ( 0.26) | 47.47% ( -0.27) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.31% ( 0.24) | 69.68% ( -0.24) |
VfL Bochum Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.89% ( -0.38) | 23.1% ( 0.38) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.04% ( -0.57) | 56.96% ( 0.56) |
Hertha Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.09% ( 0.75) | 26.9% ( -0.75) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.77% ( 0.97) | 62.22% ( -0.98) |
Score Analysis |
VfL Bochum | Draw | Hertha Berlin |
1-0 @ 9.11% ( -0.21) 2-1 @ 8.76% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 6.67% ( -0.23) 3-1 @ 4.28% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 3.26% ( -0.15) 3-2 @ 2.81% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.57% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 1.19% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.13% Total : 40.8% | 1-1 @ 11.95% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.22% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.75% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.3% | 0-1 @ 8.16% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 7.85% ( 0.16) 0-2 @ 5.36% ( 0.17) 1-3 @ 3.44% ( 0.14) 2-3 @ 2.52% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.12) 1-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.07) Other @ 3.09% Total : 33.88% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 92 | 38 | 54 | 71 |
2 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 83 | 44 | 39 | 71 |
3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 64 | 41 | 23 | 66 |
4 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 51 | 38 | 13 | 62 |
5 | Freiburg | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 51 | 44 | 7 | 59 |
6 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 57 | 49 | 8 | 50 |
7 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 50 |
8 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 57 | 48 | 9 | 49 |
9 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 46 |
10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 43 |
11 | FC Koln | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 49 | 54 | -5 | 42 |
12 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 57 | -9 | 36 |
13 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 51 | 64 | -13 | 36 |
14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 10 | 5 | 19 | 40 | 72 | -32 | 35 |
15 | Augsburg | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 42 | 63 | -21 | 34 |
16 | Stuttgart | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 33 |
R | Schalke 04Schalke | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 35 | 71 | -36 | 31 |
R | Hertha Berlin | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 42 | 69 | -27 | 29 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |