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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 50.73%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 24.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.56%) and 0-2 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.74%), while for a VfL Bochum win it was 1-0 (7.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
VfL Bochum | Draw | Union Berlin |
24.56% ( 0.14) | 24.71% ( 0.03) | 50.73% ( -0.17) |
Both teams to score 52.3% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.12% ( -0.01) | 49.88% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.13% ( -0.01) | 71.87% ( 0.01) |
VfL Bochum Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.1% ( 0.12) | 34.9% ( -0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.36% ( 0.13) | 71.64% ( -0.12) |
Union Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.34% ( -0.07) | 19.66% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.36% ( -0.12) | 51.64% ( 0.12) |
Score Analysis |
VfL Bochum | Draw | Union Berlin |
1-0 @ 7.22% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 6.18% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 3.8% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 2.17% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.77% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.33% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.08% Total : 24.56% | 1-1 @ 11.74% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.86% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.03% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.7% | 0-1 @ 11.16% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 9.56% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 9.08% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 5.18% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 4.92% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.73% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.11% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 2% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.11% ( -0) Other @ 2.9% Total : 50.73% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 92 | 38 | 54 | 71 |
2 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 83 | 44 | 39 | 71 |
3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 64 | 41 | 23 | 66 |
4 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 51 | 38 | 13 | 62 |
5 | Freiburg | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 51 | 44 | 7 | 59 |
6 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 57 | 49 | 8 | 50 |
7 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 50 |
8 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 57 | 48 | 9 | 49 |
9 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 46 |
10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 43 |
11 | FC Koln | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 49 | 54 | -5 | 42 |
12 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 57 | -9 | 36 |
13 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 51 | 64 | -13 | 36 |
14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 10 | 5 | 19 | 40 | 72 | -32 | 35 |
15 | Augsburg | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 42 | 63 | -21 | 34 |
16 | Stuttgart | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 33 |
R | Schalke 04Schalke | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 35 | 71 | -36 | 31 |
R | Hertha Berlin | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 42 | 69 | -27 | 29 |
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