Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong PSV win with a probability of 45.58%. A win for Den Bosch had a probability of 30.4% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong PSV win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.47%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Den Bosch win was 1-2 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jong PSV would win this match.
