Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong PSV win with a probability of 45.05%. A win for Dordrecht had a probability of 31.87% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong PSV win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.09%) and 0-2 (6.24%). The likeliest Dordrecht win was 2-1 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jong PSV would win this match.
