Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong Ajax win with a probability of 61.54%. A win for Jong PSV had a probability of 19.35% and a draw had a probability of 19.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.57%) and 1-3 (7.35%). The likeliest Jong PSV win was 2-1 (5.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Jong Ajax in this match.
