Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 43.46%. A win for Falkirk had a probability of 30.78% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.53%). The likeliest Falkirk win was 0-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alloa Athletic would win this match.
