Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterhead win with a probability of 45.82%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 27.48% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterhead win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (8.66%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 0-1 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Peterhead would win this match.
