Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 43%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 31.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Monaco win was 0-1 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.
Result | ||
Lille | Draw | Monaco |
43% ( -0.39) | 25.28% ( 0.19) | 31.71% ( 0.19) |
Both teams to score 55.56% ( -0.56) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.01% ( -0.76) | 47.99% ( 0.76) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.84% ( -0.71) | 70.16% ( 0.7) |
Lille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.73% ( -0.51) | 22.26% ( 0.5) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.29% ( -0.77) | 55.7% ( 0.76) |
Monaco Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.47% ( -0.25) | 28.53% ( 0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.69% ( -0.31) | 64.31% ( 0.31) |
Score Analysis |
Lille | Draw | Monaco |
1-0 @ 9.54% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 8.99% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 7.17% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.5% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 3.59% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.82% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 1.69% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 1.35% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.3% Total : 43% | 1-1 @ 11.96% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 6.35% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 5.64% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.28% | 0-1 @ 7.97% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 7.51% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 5% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 3.14% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 2.09% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.67% Total : 31.71% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 37 | 27 | 4 | 6 | 87 | 37 | 50 | 85 |
2 | Lens | 37 | 24 | 9 | 4 | 65 | 28 | 37 | 81 |
3 | Marseille | 37 | 22 | 7 | 8 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 73 |
4 | Lille | 37 | 19 | 9 | 9 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 66 |
5 | Rennes | 37 | 20 | 5 | 12 | 67 | 38 | 29 | 65 |
6 | MonacoMonaco | 37 | 19 | 8 | 10 | 69 | 56 | 13 | 65 |
7 | Lyon | 37 | 18 | 8 | 11 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 62 |
8 | Clermont | 37 | 16 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 56 |
9 | Nice | 37 | 14 | 13 | 10 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 55 |
10 | Lorient | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 50 | 52 | -2 | 52 |
11 | Reims | 37 | 12 | 15 | 10 | 44 | 42 | 2 | 51 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 37 | 14 | 5 | 18 | 62 | 61 | 1 | 47 |
13 | Toulouse | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 49 | 56 | -7 | 45 |
14 | Brest | 37 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 43 | 52 | -9 | 44 |
15 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 37 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 50 | 57 | -7 | 40 |
16 | Auxerre | 37 | 8 | 11 | 18 | 34 | 60 | -26 | 35 |
17 | NantesNantes | 37 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 33 |
R | Troyes | 37 | 4 | 11 | 22 | 44 | 80 | -36 | 23 |
R | Ajaccio | 37 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 22 | 74 | -52 | 23 |
R | Angers | 37 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 33 | 80 | -47 | 18 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |