Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 48.92%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Monaco had a probability of 25.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.28%), while for a Monaco win it was 0-1 (8.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.
Result | ||
Lille | Draw | Monaco |
48.92% | 25.91% | 25.16% |
Both teams to score 49.25% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.84% | 54.16% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.42% | 75.57% |
Lille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.83% | 22.16% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.44% | 55.56% |
Monaco Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.28% | 36.72% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.49% | 73.51% |
Score Analysis |
Lille | Draw | Monaco |
1-0 @ 12.26% 2-1 @ 9.26% 2-0 @ 9.24% 3-1 @ 4.65% 3-0 @ 4.64% 3-2 @ 2.33% 4-1 @ 1.75% 4-0 @ 1.75% Other @ 3.05% Total : 48.92% | 1-1 @ 12.28% 0-0 @ 8.14% 2-2 @ 4.64% Other @ 0.86% Total : 25.91% | 0-1 @ 8.15% 1-2 @ 6.15% 0-2 @ 4.08% 1-3 @ 2.06% 2-3 @ 1.55% 0-3 @ 1.36% Other @ 1.8% Total : 25.16% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 35 | 26 | 3 | 6 | 84 | 35 | 49 | 81 |
2 | Lens | 35 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 59 | 27 | 32 | 75 |
3 | Marseille | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 62 | 34 | 28 | 70 |
4 | MonacoMonaco | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 68 | 51 | 17 | 64 |
5 | Lille | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 60 | 41 | 19 | 59 |
6 | Rennes | 34 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 56 | 38 | 18 | 56 |
7 | Lyon | 35 | 16 | 8 | 11 | 58 | 43 | 15 | 56 |
8 | Clermont | 35 | 15 | 8 | 12 | 39 | 45 | -6 | 53 |
9 | Nice | 35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 51 |
10 | Lorient | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 46 | 2 | 51 |
11 | Reims | 35 | 12 | 14 | 9 | 42 | 37 | 5 | 50 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 34 | 13 | 4 | 17 | 56 | 57 | -1 | 43 |
13 | Toulouse | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 42 |
14 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 35 | 9 | 11 | 15 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 38 |
15 | Brest | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 35 |
16 | Auxerre | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 32 | 56 | -24 | 34 |
17 | NantesNantes | 34 | 6 | 14 | 14 | 35 | 50 | -15 | 32 |
R | Ajaccio | 35 | 6 | 5 | 24 | 22 | 66 | -44 | 23 |
19 | Troyes | 34 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 42 | 73 | -31 | 22 |
R | Angers | 34 | 3 | 5 | 26 | 28 | 74 | -46 | 14 |
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