Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 45.35%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 29.67% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 0-1 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Toulouse | Draw | Strasbourg |
45.35% ( 0.32) | 24.98% ( -0.07) | 29.67% ( -0.26) |
Both teams to score 55.55% ( 0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.46% ( 0.17) | 47.54% ( -0.17) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.26% ( 0.16) | 69.74% ( -0.16) |
Toulouse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79% ( 0.22) | 21% ( -0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.23% ( 0.34) | 53.77% ( -0.34) |
Strasbourg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.32% ( -0.09) | 29.68% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.27% ( -0.11) | 65.73% ( 0.11) |
Score Analysis |
Toulouse | Draw | Strasbourg |
1-0 @ 9.73% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.22% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 7.59% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 4.8% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 3.95% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.91% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.87% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.54% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.14% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.6% Total : 45.35% | 1-1 @ 11.81% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.23% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.6% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.98% | 0-1 @ 7.57% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 7.18% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 4.6% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 2.91% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.27% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.29% Total : 29.67% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 37 | 27 | 4 | 6 | 87 | 37 | 50 | 85 |
2 | Lens | 37 | 24 | 9 | 4 | 65 | 28 | 37 | 81 |
3 | Marseille | 37 | 22 | 7 | 8 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 73 |
4 | Lille | 37 | 19 | 9 | 9 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 66 |
5 | Rennes | 37 | 20 | 5 | 12 | 67 | 38 | 29 | 65 |
6 | MonacoMonaco | 37 | 19 | 8 | 10 | 69 | 56 | 13 | 65 |
7 | Lyon | 37 | 18 | 8 | 11 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 62 |
8 | Clermont | 37 | 16 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 56 |
9 | Nice | 37 | 14 | 13 | 10 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 55 |
10 | Lorient | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 50 | 52 | -2 | 52 |
11 | Reims | 37 | 12 | 15 | 10 | 44 | 42 | 2 | 51 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 37 | 14 | 5 | 18 | 62 | 61 | 1 | 47 |
13 | Toulouse | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 49 | 56 | -7 | 45 |
14 | Brest | 37 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 43 | 52 | -9 | 44 |
15 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 37 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 50 | 57 | -7 | 40 |
16 | Auxerre | 37 | 8 | 11 | 18 | 34 | 60 | -26 | 35 |
17 | NantesNantes | 37 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 33 |
R | Troyes | 37 | 4 | 11 | 22 | 44 | 80 | -36 | 23 |
R | Ajaccio | 37 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 22 | 74 | -52 | 23 |
R | Angers | 37 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 33 | 80 | -47 | 18 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |