Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club America win with a probability of 72.63%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Toluca had a probability of 10.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club America win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 1-0 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.76%), while for a Toluca win it was 1-2 (3.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.