Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajaccio win with a probability of 49.25%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Toulouse had a probability of 23.36%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajaccio win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.13%) and 2-1 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.6%), while for a Toulouse win it was 0-1 (9.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.
