Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 55.1%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 2-0 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.05%), while for a Wellington Phoenix win it was 0-1 (6.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.