Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Central Coast Mariners and Wellington Phoenix.
More game data and we say below the videos
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Adelaide United 3-1 Central Coast
Sunday, May 15 at 7.05am in Australian A-League
Sunday, May 15 at 7.05am in Australian A-League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Western United | 6 | 1 | 12 |
| 4 | Central Coast Mariners | 5 | 3 | 9 |
| 5 | Melbourne City | 5 | 1 | 8 |
Last Game: Western Utd 1-0 Wellington
Saturday, May 14 at 10.45am in Australian A-League
Saturday, May 14 at 10.45am in Australian A-League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Perth Glory | 4 | 1 | 4 |
| 10 | Wellington Phoenix | 5 | -6 | 4 |
| 11 | Adelaide United | 5 | -2 | 3 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 51.1%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 24.91% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (8.67%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 0-1 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Central Coast Mariners would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
| 51.1% | 24% | 24.91% |
| Both teams to score 54.92% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
