Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 43.08%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 32.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.29%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 2-1 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
