Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 50.87%. A win for Western United had a probability of 24.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (8.91%). The likeliest Western United win was 0-1 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Central Coast Mariners would win this match.
