Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 40.18%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 34.59% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.69%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 1-0 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Central Coast Mariners in this match.