Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 43.39%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 31.31% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.27%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 0-1 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
