Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 38.03%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 37.76% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.4%) and 2-0 (5.59%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Wellington Phoenix in this match.
Result | ||
Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
38.03% | 24.22% | 37.76% |
Both teams to score 60.66% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.08% | 41.92% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.68% | 64.32% |
Wellington Phoenix Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.95% | 22.05% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.62% | 55.38% |
Central Coast Mariners Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.82% | 22.18% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.42% | 55.59% |
Score Analysis |
Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
2-1 @ 8.42% 1-0 @ 7.4% 2-0 @ 5.59% 3-1 @ 4.24% 3-2 @ 3.2% 3-0 @ 2.82% 4-1 @ 1.6% 4-2 @ 1.21% 4-0 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.49% Total : 38.03% | 1-1 @ 11.13% 2-2 @ 6.34% 0-0 @ 4.89% 3-3 @ 1.6% Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.21% | 1-2 @ 8.38% 0-1 @ 7.36% 0-2 @ 5.55% 1-3 @ 4.21% 2-3 @ 3.18% 0-3 @ 2.78% 1-4 @ 1.58% 2-4 @ 1.2% 0-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.46% Total : 37.76% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 34 |
2 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 36 | 26 | 10 | 28 |
3 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 27 |
4 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 25 |
5 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 25 |
6 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 26 | -1 | 24 |
7 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 24 |
8 | Macarthur | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 21 |
9 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 17 |
11 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 17 |
12 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 16 |
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