Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 68.15%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 14.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.41%) and 3-1 (7.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.38%), while for a Wellington Phoenix win it was 1-2 (4.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Melbourne City | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
68.15% | 17.12% | 14.73% |
Both teams to score 61.67% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
70.38% | 29.62% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
49.26% | 50.74% |
Melbourne City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.02% | 7.98% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
71.84% | 28.16% |
Wellington Phoenix Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.02% | 32.98% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.44% | 69.56% |
Score Analysis |
Melbourne City | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
2-1 @ 9.33% 2-0 @ 8.41% 3-1 @ 7.87% 3-0 @ 7.09% 1-0 @ 6.65% 4-1 @ 4.97% 4-0 @ 4.48% 3-2 @ 4.36% 4-2 @ 2.76% 5-1 @ 2.51% 5-0 @ 2.27% 5-2 @ 1.4% 6-1 @ 1.06% 4-3 @ 1.02% 6-0 @ 0.96% Other @ 3.01% Total : 68.15% | 1-1 @ 7.38% 2-2 @ 5.18% 0-0 @ 2.63% 3-3 @ 1.61% Other @ 0.32% Total : 17.12% | 1-2 @ 4.09% 0-1 @ 2.92% 2-3 @ 1.91% 0-2 @ 1.62% 1-3 @ 1.51% Other @ 2.67% Total : 14.73% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 54 | 28 | 26 | 48 |
2 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 23 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 41 |
3 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 47 | 32 | 15 | 37 |
4 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 35 |
5 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 31 |
6 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 29 |
7 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 30 | 36 | -6 | 28 |
8 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 23 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 26 |
9 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 26 |
10 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 26 |
11 | Macarthur | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 29 | 43 | -14 | 26 |
12 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 23 | 7 | 4 | 12 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 25 |
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