Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 50.88%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 25.81% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.02%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 (6.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
