Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crystal Palace win with a probability of 40.55%. A win for Everton had a probability of 30.85% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.08%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Everton win was 0-1 (10.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crystal Palace would win this match.
Result | ||
Crystal Palace | Draw | Everton |
40.55% | 28.6% | 30.85% |
Both teams to score 45.21% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.95% | 61.05% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.97% | 81.03% |
Crystal Palace Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.48% | 29.52% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.47% | 65.53% |
Everton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.14% | 35.86% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.36% | 72.64% |
Score Analysis |
Crystal Palace | Draw | Everton |
1-0 @ 12.91% 2-1 @ 8.08% 2-0 @ 7.88% 3-1 @ 3.29% 3-0 @ 3.21% 3-2 @ 1.69% 4-1 @ 1% 4-0 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.52% Total : 40.55% | 1-1 @ 13.24% 0-0 @ 10.58% 2-2 @ 4.14% Other @ 0.62% Total : 28.59% | 0-1 @ 10.85% 1-2 @ 6.79% 0-2 @ 5.57% 1-3 @ 2.32% 0-3 @ 1.9% 2-3 @ 1.42% Other @ 2% Total : 30.85% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 32 | 23 | 6 | 3 | 77 | 34 | 43 | 75 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 30 | 22 | 4 | 4 | 78 | 28 | 50 | 70 |
3 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 30 | 18 | 5 | 7 | 46 | 37 | 9 | 59 |
4 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 30 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 48 | 24 | 24 | 56 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 31 | 16 | 5 | 10 | 57 | 45 | 12 | 53 |
6 | Aston Villa | 32 | 15 | 6 | 11 | 45 | 41 | 4 | 51 |
7 | Liverpool | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 59 | 38 | 21 | 50 |
8 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 54 | 37 | 17 | 49 |
9 | Fulham | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 44 | 42 | 2 | 45 |
10 | Brentford | 32 | 10 | 14 | 8 | 48 | 43 | 5 | 44 |
11 | Chelsea | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 30 | 33 | -3 | 39 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 37 |
13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 27 | 44 | -17 | 34 |
14 | Bournemouth | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 31 | 59 | -28 | 33 |
15 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 31 |
16 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 32 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 41 | 62 | -21 | 29 |
17 | Leicester CityLeicester | 32 | 8 | 4 | 20 | 43 | 56 | -13 | 28 |
18 | Everton | 32 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 24 | 46 | -22 | 28 |
19 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 32 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 26 | 59 | -33 | 27 |
20 | Southampton | 32 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 27 | 56 | -29 | 24 |
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