Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 43.25%. A draw had a probability of 28.6% and a win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 28.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.65%) and 2-1 (8.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.14%), while for a Crystal Palace win it was 0-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.