Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 77.97%. A draw had a probability of 14.4% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 7.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.06%) and 1-0 (10.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.86%), while for a Burnley win it was 0-1 (2.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.