Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mechelen win with a probability of 41.23%. A win for Kortrijk had a probability of 34.48% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mechelen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.92%) and 0-2 (6.22%). The likeliest Kortrijk win was 2-1 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mechelen would win this match.
