Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 60%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Kolos Kovalivka had a probability of 17.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.67%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.85%), while for a Kolos Kovalivka win it was 0-1 (6.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtar Donetsk would win this match.