Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | AC Milan | 37 | 35 | 83 |
2 | Inter Milan | 37 | 49 | 81 |
3 | Napoli | 37 | 40 | 76 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
16 | Spezia | 37 | -27 | 36 |
17 | Salernitana | 37 | -41 | 31 |
18 | Cagliari | 37 | -34 | 29 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 80.28%. A draw had a probability of 13.2% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 6.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.62%) and 1-0 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.27%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (2.36%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
Inter Milan | Draw | Salernitana |
80.28% | 13.18% | 6.55% |
Both teams to score 43.77% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.98% | 36.03% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.87% | 58.13% |
Inter Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.01% | 6.99% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
74.4% | 25.6% |
Salernitana Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
47.07% | 52.93% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
13.39% | 86.61% |
Score Analysis |
Inter Milan | Draw | Salernitana |
2-0 @ 13.1% 3-0 @ 11.62% 1-0 @ 9.85% 2-1 @ 8.34% 4-0 @ 7.73% 3-1 @ 7.39% 4-1 @ 4.92% 5-0 @ 4.11% 5-1 @ 2.62% 3-2 @ 2.35% 6-0 @ 1.82% 4-2 @ 1.56% 6-1 @ 1.16% Other @ 3.7% Total : 80.28% | 1-1 @ 6.27% 0-0 @ 3.7% 2-2 @ 2.65% Other @ 0.56% Total : 13.18% | 0-1 @ 2.36% 1-2 @ 1.99% Other @ 2.2% Total : 6.55% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter Milan | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 3 | 12 | 15 |
2 | AC Milan | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 15 |
3 | Juventus | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 13 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 12 |
5 | Napoli | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 11 |
6 | Lecce | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 11 |
7 | Fiorentina | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 11 |
8 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 9 |
9 | SassuoloSassuolo | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 9 |
10 | Torino | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 8 |
11 | Genoa | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 7 |
12 | Lazio | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 7 |
13 | Bologna | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 7 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 7 |
15 | Monza | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 6 |
16 | Roma | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 5 |
17 | Salernitana | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 3 |
18 | Udinese | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10 | -8 | 3 |
19 | Empoli | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 13 | -12 | 3 |
20 | CagliariCagliari | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9 | -7 | 2 |
> Serie A Full Table |