Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 54.01%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for St Johnstone had a probability of 19.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.59%) and 2-1 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.02%), while for a St Johnstone win it was 0-1 (8.18%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hibernian would win this match.