Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 49.46%. A win for Montrose had a probability of 26.72% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.3%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Montrose win was 1-2 (6.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Queen of the South would win this match.