Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cliftonville win with a probability of 49.14%. A win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 27.46% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cliftonville win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.57%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Carrick Rangers win was 1-2 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Cliftonville in this match.
