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Sporting Lisbon
Europa League | Group Stage
Dec 14, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Jose Alvalade
Sporting Lisbon
3 - 0
Sturm Graz
Gyokeres (39'), Inacio (60', 70')
FT(HT: 1-0)
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Sporting Lisbon and Sturm Graz, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sturm Graz 1-0 Rheindorf Altach
Sunday, December 10 at 4pm in Austrian Bundesliga

We said: Sporting Lisbon 0-1 Sturm Graz

As Sporting are unlikely to field the strongest team at Amorim's disposal, an array of changes could provide an opportunity for the visitors. With Sturm motivated to get a result to extend their European season, they could exploit a potentially much-changed Sporting side who may have one eye on their upcoming clash with Porto instead. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 70.62%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Sturm Graz had a probability of 12.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 3-0 (7.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.46%), while for a Sturm Graz win it was 1-2 (3.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result
Sporting LisbonDrawSturm Graz
70.62% (-0.179 -0.18) 16.61% (0.079000000000001 0.08) 12.76% (0.101 0.1)
Both teams to score 57.7% (0.012 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.03% (-0.12599999999999 -0.13)31.96% (0.126 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.48% (-0.14700000000001 -0.15)53.52% (0.148 0.15)
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.94% (-0.067000000000007 -0.07)8.06% (0.068999999999999 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.65% (-0.172 -0.17)28.35% (0.173 0.17)
Sturm Graz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.76% (0.061 0.06)37.24% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.97% (0.062000000000001 0.06)74.02% (-0.060999999999993 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Sporting Lisbon 70.62%
    Sturm Graz 12.76%
    Draw 16.61%
Sporting LisbonDrawSturm Graz
2-0 @ 9.52% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-1 @ 9.4% (0.017000000000001 0.02)
3-0 @ 7.99% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-1 @ 7.89% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.56% (0.027 0.03)
4-0 @ 5.03% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
4-1 @ 4.97% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.9%
5-0 @ 2.54% (-0.025 -0.02)
5-1 @ 2.5% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-2 @ 2.46% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-2 @ 1.24% (-0.008 -0.01)
6-0 @ 1.06% (-0.014 -0.01)
6-1 @ 1.05% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 70.62%
1-1 @ 7.46% (0.038 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.64% (0.016 0.02)
0-0 @ 3% (0.021 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.28% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 16.61%
1-2 @ 3.69% (0.025 0.02)
0-1 @ 2.96% (0.025 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.53% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 1.46% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.21% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 12.76%

How you voted: Sporting Lisbon vs Sturm Graz

Sporting Lisbon
60.3%
Draw
15.9%
Sturm Graz
23.8%
63
Head to Head
Sep 21, 2023 8pm
Group Stage
Sturm Graz
1-2
Sporting Lisbon
Boving (58')
Gazibegovic (45'), Affengruber (90')
Gyokeres (76'), Coates (84')
Paulinho (90+4')
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