Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Godoy Cruz win with a probability of 45.34%. A win for Sarmiento had a probability of 28.79% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Godoy Cruz win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest Sarmiento win was 0-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.