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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 41.54%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 30.27% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (10.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Middlesbrough | Draw | Millwall |
41.54% | 28.18% | 30.27% |
Both teams to score 46.13% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.21% | 59.79% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.92% | 80.08% |
Middlesbrough Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.65% | 28.35% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.92% | 64.08% |
Millwall Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.38% | 35.62% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.61% | 72.39% |
Score Analysis |
Middlesbrough | Draw | Millwall |
1-0 @ 12.72% 2-1 @ 8.28% 2-0 @ 8.02% 3-1 @ 3.48% 3-0 @ 3.37% 3-2 @ 1.8% 4-1 @ 1.1% 4-0 @ 1.06% Other @ 1.7% Total : 41.54% | 1-1 @ 13.13% 0-0 @ 10.09% 2-2 @ 4.28% Other @ 0.67% Total : 28.17% | 0-1 @ 10.42% 1-2 @ 6.78% 0-2 @ 5.38% 1-3 @ 2.33% 0-3 @ 1.85% 2-3 @ 1.47% Other @ 2.03% Total : 30.27% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leicester CityLeicester | 27 | 21 | 2 | 4 | 55 | 21 | 34 | 65 |
2 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 27 | 17 | 7 | 3 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 58 |
3 | Southampton | 27 | 16 | 7 | 4 | 50 | 31 | 19 | 55 |
4 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 27 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 48 | 25 | 23 | 51 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 40 | 25 | 15 | 45 |
6 | Coventry CityCoventry | 27 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 41 | 29 | 12 | 40 |
7 | Sunderland | 27 | 12 | 4 | 11 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 40 |
8 | Hull City | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 41 | 38 | 3 | 39 |
9 | Middlesbrough | 27 | 12 | 3 | 12 | 41 | 40 | 1 | 39 |
10 | Norwich CityNorwich | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 44 | 43 | 1 | 38 |
11 | Preston North EndPreston | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 38 |
12 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 37 |
13 | Watford | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 42 | 36 | 6 | 36 |
14 | Bristol City | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 36 |
15 | Swansea CitySwansea | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 33 |
16 | Millwall | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 32 |
17 | Stoke CityStoke | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 32 |
18 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 27 | 10 | 2 | 15 | 40 | 52 | -12 | 32 |
19 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 44 | 46 | -2 | 30 |
20 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 32 | 43 | -11 | 29 |
21 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 27 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 27 | 45 | -18 | 26 |
22 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 27 | 6 | 4 | 17 | 21 | 44 | -23 | 22 |
23 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 21 |
24 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 27 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 24 | 51 | -27 | 18 |
> Championship Full Table |