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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 38.15%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 33.26% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.86%) and 0-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 1-0 (11.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Luton Town | Draw | Middlesbrough |
33.26% | 28.57% | 38.15% |
Both teams to score 45.88% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.49% | 60.5% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.38% | 80.62% |
Luton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.16% | 33.83% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.5% | 70.49% |
Middlesbrough Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.34% | 30.65% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.09% | 66.9% |
Score Analysis |
Luton Town | Draw | Middlesbrough |
1-0 @ 11.24% 2-1 @ 7.2% 2-0 @ 6.09% 3-1 @ 2.6% 3-0 @ 2.2% 3-2 @ 1.54% Other @ 2.39% Total : 33.26% | 1-1 @ 13.29% 0-0 @ 10.37% 2-2 @ 4.26% Other @ 0.66% Total : 28.58% | 0-1 @ 12.26% 1-2 @ 7.86% 0-2 @ 7.25% 1-3 @ 3.1% 0-3 @ 2.86% 2-3 @ 1.68% 1-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.24% Total : 38.15% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
P | Burnley | 43 | 26 | 14 | 3 | 81 | 34 | 47 | 92 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 42 | 25 | 7 | 10 | 65 | 36 | 29 | 82 |
3 | Luton TownLuton | 44 | 21 | 15 | 8 | 56 | 38 | 18 | 78 |
4 | Middlesbrough | 44 | 22 | 8 | 14 | 83 | 54 | 29 | 74 |
5 | Coventry CityCoventry | 44 | 17 | 15 | 12 | 55 | 45 | 10 | 66 |
6 | Sunderland | 44 | 17 | 14 | 13 | 63 | 53 | 10 | 65 |
7 | Millwall | 44 | 18 | 11 | 15 | 51 | 44 | 7 | 65 |
8 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 43 | 19 | 8 | 16 | 47 | 49 | -2 | 65 |
9 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 43 | 17 | 12 | 14 | 55 | 47 | 8 | 63 |
10 | Preston North EndPreston | 44 | 17 | 12 | 15 | 44 | 52 | -8 | 63 |
11 | Norwich CityNorwich | 44 | 17 | 11 | 16 | 56 | 51 | 5 | 62 |
12 | Swansea CitySwansea | 44 | 17 | 11 | 16 | 64 | 61 | 3 | 62 |
13 | Watford | 44 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 52 | 51 | 1 | 59 |
14 | Bristol City | 44 | 14 | 14 | 16 | 52 | 54 | -2 | 56 |
15 | Hull City | 44 | 14 | 14 | 16 | 50 | 60 | -10 | 56 |
16 | Stoke CityStoke | 44 | 14 | 11 | 19 | 55 | 51 | 4 | 53 |
17 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 44 | 14 | 11 | 19 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 53 |
18 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 44 | 12 | 11 | 21 | 43 | 69 | -26 | 47 |
19 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 43 | 10 | 16 | 17 | 47 | 58 | -11 | 46 |
20 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 43 | 12 | 10 | 21 | 38 | 52 | -14 | 46 |
21 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 43 | 11 | 11 | 21 | 42 | 61 | -19 | 44 |
22 | Reading | 44 | 13 | 10 | 21 | 45 | 65 | -20 | 43 |
23 | Blackpool | 44 | 10 | 11 | 23 | 45 | 69 | -24 | 41 |
24 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 44 | 10 | 13 | 21 | 37 | 64 | -27 | 40 |
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