Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 4
Aug 30, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
G.F. Grigg Latham Park
Newtown
2 - 1
Caernarfon
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Newtown AFC and Caernarfon Town.
More game data and we say below the videos
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Bala Town 3-0 Newtown
Friday, August 26 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Friday, August 26 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Aberystwyth Town | 3 | -4 | 3 |
| 11 | Newtown AFC | 3 | -5 | 1 |
| 12 | Airbus UK Broughton | 3 | -5 | 0 |
Last Game: Caernarfon 5-1 Cardiff MU
Saturday, August 27 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Saturday, August 27 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | The New Saints | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Caernarfon Town | 3 | 5 | 6 |
| 4 | Cardiff MU | 3 | 2 | 6 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 44.57%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 29.92% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 0-1 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newtown AFC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Newtown AFC | Draw | Caernarfon Town |
44.57% ( -0) | 25.51% | 29.92% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 53.95% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
