MX23RW : Saturday, December 3 03:47:12| >> :300:86500:86500:
Dec 18, 2020 at 7.45pm UK at The Oval
Caernarfon
1 - 1
Newtown
Bradley (34')
Williams (13'), Mendes (59'), Hayes (77'), Bradley (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Breese (84')
O'Neill (31')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Newtown AFC.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 53.36%. A win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 23.68% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.44%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Newtown AFC win was 1-2 (6.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.

Result
Caernarfon TownDrawNewtown AFC
53.36%22.96%23.68%
Both teams to score 56.98%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.79%43.21%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.39%65.62%
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.83%16.17%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.36%45.64%
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.97%32.03%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.5%68.5%
Score Analysis
    Caernarfon Town 53.36%
    Newtown AFC 23.68%
    Draw 22.96%
Caernarfon TownDrawNewtown AFC
2-1 @ 9.79%
1-0 @ 9.44%
2-0 @ 8.6%
3-1 @ 5.94%
3-0 @ 5.22%
3-2 @ 3.38%
4-1 @ 2.71%
4-0 @ 2.38%
4-2 @ 1.54%
5-1 @ 0.99%
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 53.36%
1-1 @ 10.74%
2-2 @ 5.57%
0-0 @ 5.18%
3-3 @ 1.28%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 22.96%
1-2 @ 6.12%
0-1 @ 5.9%
0-2 @ 3.36%
1-3 @ 2.32%
2-3 @ 2.11%
0-3 @ 1.27%
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 23.68%

Head to Head
Sep 15, 2020 7.45pm
Newtown
2-3
Caernarfon
Davies (30', 51')
Rushton (16'), Edwards (39'), Phillips (45+2')
Mendes (45+3'), Bradley (59'), Edwards (79')
Thomas (66'), Brookwell (70'), Williams (89')
Apr 17, 2020 7.45pm
Mar 6, 2020 7.45pm
Caernarfon
3-1
Newtown
Evans (58', 74'), Craig (84')
(39')
Harry (26')
(38'), (70'), (83')
Nov 8, 2019 7.45pm
Newtown
3-1
Caernarfon
Mills-Evans (11'), Sheridan (30'), Rushton (52')
Jones (69')
Sep 27, 2019 8pm
Caernarfon
1-0
Newtown
Breese (55')
Ramsey (51'), Craig (93')

Williams (30'), Mwandwe (48'), Fletcher (51')
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