Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between The New Saints and Caernarfon Town.
More game data and we say below the videos
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: New Saints 3-1 Caernarfon
Saturday, April 23 at 12.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Saturday, April 23 at 12.45pm in Welsh Premier League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | The New Saints | 32 | 60 | 80 |
| 2 | Bala Town | 32 | 30 | 59 |
| 3 | Connah's Quay Nomads | 33 | 14 | 53 |
Last Game: Caernarfon 2-1 Flint Town
Saturday, May 14 at 2pm in Welsh Premier League
Saturday, May 14 at 2pm in Welsh Premier League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Newtown AFC | 32 | 15 | 51 |
| 5 | Caernarfon Town | 32 | 6 | 49 |
| 6 | Flint Town United | 33 | -2 | 43 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 84.53%. A draw had a probability of 10.4% and a win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 5.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.19%) and 4-0 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.86%), while for a Caernarfon Town win it was 1-2 (1.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.
| Result | ||
| The New Saints | Draw | Caernarfon Town |
| 84.53% | 10.38% | 5.09% |
| Both teams to score 46.51% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
