Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 75.69%. A draw had a probability of 14.7% and a win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 9.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.33%) and 2-1 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.76%), while for a Caernarfon Town win it was 1-2 (2.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.
