Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Newtown AFC and Caernarfon Town.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 37.17%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 37.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (6.13%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 0-1 (9.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
