Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 47.24%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Crawley Town had a probability of 26.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.06%) and 1-2 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.56%), while for a Crawley Town win it was 1-0 (8.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
