Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 36.71%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 35.75% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.94%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 (10.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.