The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Ceara and Sao Paulo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Botafogo 1-1 Ceara
Saturday, August 6 at 8.30pm in Brasileiro
Saturday, August 6 at 8.30pm in Brasileiro
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Sao Paulo | 21 | 1 | 26 |
| 12 | Ceara | 21 | 0 | 25 |
| 13 | Goias | 21 | -6 | 25 |
Last Game: Sao Paulo 0-2 Flamengo
Sunday, August 7 at 12.30am in Brasileiro
Sunday, August 7 at 12.30am in Brasileiro
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | America Mineiro | 21 | -6 | 27 |
| 11 | Sao Paulo | 21 | 1 | 26 |
| 12 | Ceara | 21 | 0 | 25 |
We say: Ceara 1-1 Sao Paulo
Ceara have proven tough to beat in recent times, but we think that Sao Paulo can avoid defeat, too, meaning they would progress to the semi-finals. It is tough to envisage a particularly open game with the onus on the hosts to attack, especially with this not being their usual gameplan. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ceara win with a probability of 43.2%. A draw had a probability of 31% and a win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 25.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ceara win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.26%) and 2-1 (7.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.6%), while for a Sao Paulo win it was 0-1 (11.65%).
| Result | ||
| Ceara | Draw | Sao Paulo |
43.2% ( 0.06) | 30.98% ( 0.01) | 25.81% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 37.14% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
