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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 54.66%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Swindon Town had a probability of 21.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.3%) and 1-2 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.54%), while for a Swindon Town win it was 1-0 (6.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Carlisle United would win this match.
Result | ||
Swindon Town | Draw | Carlisle United |
21.04% | 24.3% | 54.66% |
Both teams to score 49.31% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.28% | 51.71% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.51% | 73.49% |
Swindon Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.75% | 39.25% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.04% | 75.96% |
Carlisle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.17% | 18.83% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.73% | 50.27% |
Score Analysis |
Swindon Town | Draw | Carlisle United |
1-0 @ 6.91% 2-1 @ 5.4% 2-0 @ 3.23% 3-1 @ 1.68% 3-2 @ 1.41% 3-0 @ 1.01% Other @ 1.41% Total : 21.04% | 1-1 @ 11.54% 0-0 @ 7.39% 2-2 @ 4.51% Other @ 0.86% Total : 24.3% | 0-1 @ 12.33% 0-2 @ 10.3% 1-2 @ 9.64% 0-3 @ 5.74% 1-3 @ 5.36% 2-3 @ 2.51% 0-4 @ 2.39% 1-4 @ 2.24% 2-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 3.09% Total : 54.65% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leyton Orient | 35 | 21 | 9 | 5 | 46 | 22 | 24 | 72 |
2 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 35 | 18 | 10 | 7 | 58 | 35 | 23 | 64 |
3 | Stevenage | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 49 | 31 | 18 | 63 |
4 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 35 | 16 | 12 | 7 | 48 | 33 | 15 | 60 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 36 | 17 | 8 | 11 | 49 | 31 | 18 | 59 |
6 | Bradford CityBradford | 35 | 16 | 11 | 8 | 43 | 30 | 13 | 59 |
7 | Salford City | 36 | 16 | 8 | 12 | 54 | 41 | 13 | 56 |
8 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 33 | 16 | 7 | 10 | 54 | 43 | 11 | 55 |
9 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 36 | 15 | 10 | 11 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 55 |
10 | BarrowBarrow | 36 | 15 | 7 | 14 | 38 | 41 | -3 | 52 |
11 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 35 | 15 | 5 | 15 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 50 |
12 | Swindon TownSwindon | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 45 | 38 | 7 | 49 |
13 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 35 | 0 | 48 |
14 | Walsall | 34 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 44 |
15 | AFC Wimbledon | 35 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 42 |
16 | Grimsby Town | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 36 | 41 | -5 | 42 |
17 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 34 | 9 | 15 | 10 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 42 |
18 | Newport CountyNewport | 35 | 9 | 12 | 14 | 34 | 41 | -7 | 39 |
19 | Gillingham | 35 | 9 | 11 | 15 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 38 |
20 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 36 | 9 | 8 | 19 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 35 |
21 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 36 | 8 | 11 | 17 | 41 | 54 | -13 | 35 |
22 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 36 | 6 | 12 | 18 | 38 | 64 | -26 | 30 |
23 | Crawley TownCrawley | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 37 | 58 | -21 | 29 |
24 | Rochdale | 36 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 29 | 53 | -24 | 25 |
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