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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 40.58%. A win for Leyton Orient had a probability of 32.21% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (7.43%). The likeliest Leyton Orient win was 1-0 (9.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Carlisle United would win this match.
Result | ||
Leyton Orient | Draw | Carlisle United |
32.21% | 27.21% | 40.58% |
Both teams to score 49.6% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.27% | 55.73% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.13% | 76.87% |
Leyton Orient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.91% | 32.09% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.44% | 68.56% |
Carlisle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.04% | 26.96% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.7% | 62.29% |
Score Analysis |
Leyton Orient | Draw | Carlisle United |
1-0 @ 9.83% 2-1 @ 7.33% 2-0 @ 5.59% 3-1 @ 2.78% 3-0 @ 2.12% 3-2 @ 1.82% Other @ 2.75% Total : 32.21% | 1-1 @ 12.88% 0-0 @ 8.65% 2-2 @ 4.8% Other @ 0.87% Total : 27.2% | 0-1 @ 11.33% 1-2 @ 8.45% 0-2 @ 7.43% 1-3 @ 3.69% 0-3 @ 3.25% 2-3 @ 2.1% 1-4 @ 1.21% 0-4 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.04% Total : 40.57% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leyton Orient | 38 | 22 | 11 | 5 | 50 | 25 | 25 | 77 |
2 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 39 | 19 | 13 | 7 | 53 | 34 | 19 | 70 |
3 | Stevenage | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 52 | 35 | 17 | 68 |
4 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 39 | 18 | 12 | 9 | 58 | 37 | 21 | 66 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 39 | 18 | 10 | 11 | 52 | 33 | 19 | 64 |
6 | Bradford CityBradford | 38 | 17 | 13 | 8 | 48 | 34 | 14 | 64 |
7 | Salford City | 39 | 18 | 9 | 12 | 61 | 44 | 17 | 63 |
8 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 38 | 17 | 10 | 11 | 59 | 46 | 13 | 61 |
9 | BarrowBarrow | 39 | 17 | 7 | 15 | 42 | 44 | -2 | 58 |
10 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 39 | 15 | 12 | 12 | 41 | 41 | 0 | 57 |
11 | Swindon TownSwindon | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 50 | 45 | 5 | 51 |
12 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 39 | 15 | 6 | 18 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 51 |
13 | Walsall | 39 | 11 | 17 | 11 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 50 |
14 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 39 | 13 | 11 | 15 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 50 |
15 | Grimsby Town | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 48 |
16 | AFC Wimbledon | 40 | 11 | 13 | 16 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 46 |
17 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 38 | 10 | 15 | 13 | 36 | 47 | -11 | 45 |
18 | Newport CountyNewport | 38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 44 |
19 | Gillingham | 39 | 11 | 11 | 17 | 27 | 42 | -15 | 44 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 38 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 43 | 55 | -12 | 39 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 39 | 9 | 11 | 19 | 34 | 46 | -12 | 38 |
22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 39 | 9 | 10 | 20 | 43 | 64 | -21 | 37 |
23 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 39 | 7 | 14 | 18 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 35 |
24 | Rochdale | 39 | 7 | 8 | 24 | 34 | 59 | -25 | 29 |
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