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Barrow
Bradford City
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Crawley Town
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Doncaster Rovers
Forest Green Rovers
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
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Bolton logo
League Two | Gameweek 43
Apr 20, 2021 at 7pm UK
Macron Stadium
Carlisle United
Bolton
1 - 0
Carlisle
Doyle (28')
Santos (61')
FT(HT: 1-0)

(43'), Riley (56')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Bolton Wanderers and Carlisle United.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 40.19%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 32.94% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (9.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bolton Wanderers in this match.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawCarlisle United
40.19%26.88%32.94%
Both teams to score 50.85%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.75%54.25%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.36%75.65%
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.52%26.48%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.34%61.67%
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.17%30.84%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.89%67.11%
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 40.19%
    Carlisle United 32.94%
    Draw 26.87%
Bolton WanderersDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 10.85%
2-1 @ 8.48%
2-0 @ 7.21%
3-1 @ 3.76%
3-0 @ 3.19%
3-2 @ 2.21%
4-1 @ 1.25%
4-0 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 40.19%
1-1 @ 12.76%
0-0 @ 8.17%
2-2 @ 4.99%
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.87%
0-1 @ 9.61%
1-2 @ 7.51%
0-2 @ 5.65%
1-3 @ 2.95%
0-3 @ 2.22%
2-3 @ 1.96%
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 32.94%

Head to Head
Dec 26, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 20
Carlisle
3-3
Bolton
Hayden (5'), Alessandra (7'), Patrick (36')
Riley (24'), Bennett (45+1'), Mellish (48'), Farman (64')
Thomason (44'), Delfouneso (86'), Kioso (88')
Jones (22'), Kioso (50'), Thomason (81')
Kioso (90+4')
[nma]
Content continues below the video

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Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Notts County127322721624
2Stockport CountyStockport1272323131023
3Gillingham127141112-122
4AFC Wimbledon1256120101021
5Mansfield TownMansfield12480179820
6Crewe AlexandraCrewe125522821720
7Wrexham125522423120
8Crawley TownCrawley126242020020
9Swindon TownSwindon115422718919
10Morecambe115331513218
11Accrington StanleyAccrington125251718-117
12BarrowBarrow114431312116
13Salford City125161919016
14Bradford CityBradford124441314-116
15Harrogate TownHarrogate125161113-216
16MK Dons124351718-115
17Walsall124351521-615
18Grimsby Town123541617-114
19Newport CountyNewport124262124-314
20Doncaster RoversDoncaster123271320-711
21Colchester UnitedColchester113171720-310
22Tranmere RoversTranmere123181722-510
23Sutton UnitedSutton122191626-107
24Forest Green RoversForest Green122191124-137

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